After waiting for 4 years since the end of the last World Cup, the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar is finally here. The event began a few days ago, but we had already got the chance to watch several intriguing matches. That said, there are way more clashes to keep an eye on before we see who will win.
Speaking of winners, the data from www.2shorte.com shown here reveals that Brazil has a 14.72% to win the World Cup. Argentina is close behind with 14.36%, whereas the Netherlands is next with 7.84%. All of the data is based on Oxford’s Mathematical researcher Joshua Bull, and it is interesting, to say the least.
Aside from the three countries mentioned above, the research contains data about seven additional countries. “Brazil is the big favourite in any competition, so I am not surprised the country has the biggest chance of winning”, said Kristiyan, Nostrabet’s football expert.
Although Brazil is the favourite, people are interested in learning more about the other names on the list, so let’s go through the top 10 favourites that could win the World Cup 2022 in Qatar.
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Brazil – 14.72%
As mentioned above, Brazil is the favourite when it comes down to winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar. Oxford’s mathematical analysis revealed that the country has 14.72% to lift the trophy for the 6th time. Before this World Cup, Brazil won the competition 5 times, the last being in 2002.
Interestingly, Brazil is in the toughest group because the country has to go up against Serbia, Cameroon, and Switzerland in Group G. Even though the South Americans are the favourites, it won’t be easy to go up against their opponents.
The current Brazil squad has some of the best players in the world. Led by Neymar, Sele??o has what it takes to lift the trophy again.
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Argentina – 14.36%
Even though Brazil is the favourite, the information from Oxford’s mathematical model shows Argentina is close behind with 14.36% of winning. This may not come as a surprise to football fans because Leo Messi will do everything in his power to win.
Speaking of winning, it should be noted that Argentina started the WC 2022 with a loss against Saudi Arabia. The team is also in a group with Mexico and Poland, so it will be hard for Messi and co. to come out on top. The two teams mentioned above finished in a draw, giving Messi and the rest a chance.
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Netherlands – 7.84%
The Netherlands is one of the most exciting nations when it comes down to football. Despite being among the best in the world, the Europeans have never won a single World Cup. They’ve come close a couple of times, and, judging by the statistics, they have what it takes to win this event. Oxford reveals that the team has a 7.84% to lift the World Cup 2022 trophy.
After finishing second in 1974, 1978, and 2010, the team is ready to lift the trophy for the first time. The Netherlands is in a group with Qatar, Ecuador, and Senegal. Fortunately, the team won its first match against Senegal, so it is the favourite in Group A. It will be interesting to see whether the team can bring down the other choices.
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Spain – 7.03%
Even though Spain is not as successful as the previous 3 names on the list, the country won the World Cup in 2010 when it had one of the best teams in the world. Although the players now are different, Spain is definitely one of the big favourites. The team’s players have what it takes to make their country proud, so it will be interesting to keep an eye on them.
According to the data, Spain has a 7.03% to win the FIFA World Cup 2022. Interestingly, the team is in a group with Germany, Costa Rica, and Japan. Spain and Germany are the favourites, but we are yet to see whether they can win.
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France – 6.37%
Some people may come as a surprise that France is so low on the list, but the data reveals the team has a 6.37% to win the World Cup in Qatar. Although we can’t be sure, it seems like Karim Benzema’s absence is one reason for the low rate. The Ballon d’Or winner got an injury before the beginning of the event and won’t take part in it.
As you all know, France is the current World Cup champion after winning the event in 2018. Currently, the team is in Group D and has to go up against Denmark and Tunisia. It already defeated Australia after scoring 4 goals.
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Belgium – 6.31%
Belgium has been one of the hidden favourites in the last couple of years because the country has an impressive lineup. Besides the big stars, such as Kevin De Bruyne, the team also has a lot of other top-tier players. Unsurprisingly, Oxford’s experts give the team a 6.31% chance to win the FIFA World Cup 2022 in Qatar.
Belgium is in a group with Canada, Morocco, and Croatia, making it the big favourite. That said, Croatia is also one of the big names at the event, so it will be interesting to see if the De Bruyne and the rest can come on top.
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Portugal – 5.60%
The number 7 spot on the list, with a 5.60% chance to win the 2022 World Cup, is Portugal. Cristiano Ronaldo has just announced he is no longer a part of Manchester United following the interview from a few days ago, which means he will focus even more on the event. Needless to say, this definitely makes Portugal one of the favourites because the team has what it takes to win.
Portugal is in Group H, where it will play against Ghana, Uruguay, and South Korea. The match versus the South American team won’t be easy, but CR7 and the rest should be able to win the other two clashes.
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Denmark – 4.94%
This is one of the most surprising names on the list of potential World Cup winners. However, Oxford’s calculations that include a lot of data have shown that Denmark has a 4.94% of winning the most prestigious football event.
Denmark has always been one of the most explosive teams regarding big international football events. Even though the Danish players are in a group with France, the team should have no problems against Australia and Tunisia. Securing a win against those teams would allow them to advance to the event’s next stage.
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Germany – 3.84%
This will be the first World Cup for Germany without Joachim L?w by their side since 2006. The legendary coach had a key role in Germany’s success in 2014 when the country lifted the trophy. However, his results haven’t been that good lately, so Germany decided it was time for a change.
According to Oxford’s calculations, the German squad has 3.84% of winning the event. Leroy Sane and the rest are in Group E alongside Spain, Japan, and Costa Rica. The match versus Spain will be interesting, to say the least.
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Uruguay – 3.55%
Lastly, we have the South American team of Uruguay. With 3.55% of winning the Qatar World Cup 2022, the team will have to go up against the best in the world and prove that it deserves to be among them.
What’s interesting about Uruguay is that the team has a good mixture of young and experienced players. Led by Cavani and Suarez, the two legendary strikers will give everything they have to win the most prestigious event.
Uruguay is in a group with South Korea, Portugal, and Ghana.
Teams outside of the top 10
In addition to the teams mentioned above, Oxford’s data shows that England, Croatia, and Switzerland also have around a 3% chance of winning the competition. Interestingly, according to the data, Ghana has the lowest probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2022.
