The concept of NFL betting predictions is quite simple. Our experts use their knowledge and research skills to predict the outcome of an NFL match as accurately as possible. They then share their analysis and tips to help bettors make more informed decisions. Some bettors will simply copy the recommended betting picks, whereas others will use it to influence their own wagers. Either way, by benefitting from expert opinion, gamblers can hopefully improve their betting performance.
Here at Nostrabet, our team of experts provides recommended NFL picks and parlays, which are completely free to readers. Our experts, who have a real passion for American Football, strive to provide some of the best free NFL picks available on the internet. In this article, we will discuss our NFL expert picks in more detail and further explain how you can benefit from them.
Why Trust Nostrabet’s NFL Picks?
You might be asking, given the many NFL prediction sites that exist, why come to us? The answer is because of the research that goes into every one of our betting tips. We firmly believe that the smart way to bet is to make selections based on relevant statistics, historical trends and game-specific factors.
For this reason, our experts follow a detailed analysis process when looking for their NFL picks this week. Without going too much into the dry detail, it focuses a lot on statistics, which enables them to spot meaningful trends. Such data is then considered alongside other key factors that may influence the match. Having refined their process over time, our experts have been able to improve their NFL prediction accuracy even further.
What Kind of NFL Picks are Available?
One of the perks of betting on American sports like the NFL is that they are so stats-heavy. Whether relating to team or player data, there are plenty of numbers to assess. Past performances cannot predict the future, but they give our experts meaningful insights. This is not useful for every betting market, but it is for the four listed below. Our experts tend to focus on these markets because they are widely available across bookmakers.
- NFL Moneyline Picks: The NFL moneyline market simply requires you to correctly predict the winner of the match. Usually, you will have one team available at above +100 and the other available below. In a potentially very close match, though, both teams may be trading just under +100. In trying to determine which team will win outright, our experts do their usual analysis but also consider other important factors. This includes assessing recent meetings between the teams and any significant injury/suspension news.
- NFL Spread Picks: Spread betting is a popular variation on your standard moneyline bet. With it, the bookmaker will apply a points handicap to both teams. The points value can be anything but the aim is to create two outcomes with similar (or identical) odds. To give an example, you could have the Patriots (+6.5) versus the Jets (-6.5). To have a winning bet on the Patriots, they would need to win to match or lose by less than seven points. For the Jets to cover the spread, they would need to win by at least seven points. As it is about the winning margin, our experts will look at spread performance and likely scorelines before making their predictions.
- NFL Over/Under (Total Points) Predictions: Some markets offer particular appeal to number crunchers, and this is one of them. With NFL total points betting, the job is to predict if there will be over or under a specified number of points. As standard, the over/under amount is one designed to provide two closely priced betting options. For one game, it could be 36.5, and for another, it could be 49.5. It all depends on the qualities of the two teams. Our experts like total points betting because they see it as one of the most predictable markets. A big mistake or moment of brilliance might decide the winner of a match, but it has a much smaller impact on the total points.
- NFL Player Prop Bets: With player prop bets, you can bet on a specific element of a player’s performance. Some popular examples include touchdowns (first, last, anytime), passing yards, receiving yards, rushing yards and interceptions. With most of these stats bets, you can predict if a player will go under/over a certain amount, for example, 65.5 rushing yards, or if they will reach a certain milestone, such as 75 yards. The wide availability of player stats often gives such markets appeal as it helps locate value in the market. Our experts will also look at any recent player news that is likely to impact their performance.
What are the Key Factors Influencing NFL Predictions?
NFL expert picks require a deep look at seasonal statistics and team form, but the best predictions do not focus solely on the numbers. They must also consider a range of factors that can have a real impact on any NFL match. This is why our experts consider every meaningful detail, such as the weather conditions, the location of the match and injury news. Even one key player being out due to injury can significantly weaken a team’s quality.
Head-to-head records and historical trends also have their value when making NFL picks. It is just important to put less weight on data the older it is. Overall, a complete and deep consideration of all factors and statistics is essential for accurate NFL predictions.
What to Be Careful About When Searching for NFL Picks
If you are looking for NFL expert picks today, do not just pick the first website you find. While high-quality analysis and predictions do exist, there is much low-quality content out there. Some sites only care about generating clicks or charging for their information. We would be wary of paying for NFL picks because many of these sites promise ‘guaranteed profit’. As we always remind our readers, there are no guarantees in betting.
Instead, we recommend opting for free websites like ours that offer transparency, written analysis and a proven track record. Our only focus is on providing accurate bets available at fair odds. This is the smart way to bet, rather than chasing huge payouts.
Summary
Here at Nostrabet, we only publish our expert NFL picks following extensive research and consideration. While we strive to provide our readers with a range of free tips during the NFL season, our primary concern is quality.? We take a great deal of pride in the accuracy of our predictions, and we have a long history of providing high-quality sporting tips. We hope you enjoy the content we have to share, but always remember to bet responsibly when making your NFL wagers.
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FAQ
What process do Nostrabet experts use to make NFL predictions?
Our experts look at the statistics in detail and then run through a checklist for other potentially important game-specific factors. After finding a good bet, they will check the odds to ensure it offers decent value.
Are the free NFL picks from Nostrabet dependable?
As our NFL picks are so research-heavy and focus on accuracy (rather than speculative returns) they are among the most dependable.
Is it better to follow your picks exclusively, or should I do my own research as well?
You can choose to follow our tips or do your own research; there is no right or wrong approach. Following our tips is best for bettors with limited time, but there is rarely harm in doing your own research if you can.
What are NFL player prop bets, and how do experts forecast them?
NFL player prop bets are bets on how a specific player will perform, in relation to a particular stat, for example touchdowns. Experts will forecast these by sifting through player data, recent form and any relevant news.
Do Nostrabet experts consider injuries and weather when making NFL predictions?
Yes, as injuries and the weather can influence NFL matches, these are two factors our experts always consider. This is particularly true of injuries, as even one major absentee can have a huge impact on a match.